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Most disruption planning starts at the point where routes fail. In practice, supply chains begin to adjust much earlier, as pressure builds and decisions are forced upstream. This piece sets out how to war-game maritime chokepoints in a way that reflects how disruption actually unfolds.
The economic impact of the Iran conflict is not one story. It is two. In one, the world absorbs the shock. In the other, the system breaks. The difference lies in how pressure builds, and how long it lasts.
Conflict does more than damage infrastructure and ecosystems. It reshapes the sustainability landscape itself. The Iran war shows how geopolitical shocks can redirect the energy transition, create new environmental stresses and alter the risks global supply chains must manage.
The Middle East underpins some of the most important east–west trade routes in the global economy. The Iran war is exposing how quickly that logistics system can become a contested supply chain corridor.
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