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This week’s Signal Radar shows conditional relief, not normalisation. Oil prices fell and Hormuz risk eased, but freight access, customs friction and input availability still require active protection.
Freight rates rose, inventories increased and manufacturing activity strengthened. The question is whether these are signs of demand recovery or evidence that companies are becoming more defensive in an increasingly uncertain operating environment.
Freight markets tightened again this week as rates rose, capacity was withdrawn and allocation pressure returned. The question is why logistics conditions are tightening while demand signals remain mixed?
Energy volatility is spreading beyond oil markets and into fertiliser, agriculture, freight and manufacturing costs. The bigger risk is not a single commodity shock, but how rising energy costs move through connected supply chains faster than companies can recover margins.
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